Head-to-toe bout predictions and breakdowns for the first three UFC on ESPN 14 main card matches this Saturday (July 25, 2020) from inside Flash Forum on "Fight Island" in … No disrespect to Aleksei Oleinik, he is wily veteran, but if Werdum were still the same guy he was earlier in his career, he would have easily dispatched Oleinik. Gustafsson is also averaging 0.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Gustafsson is a heavy betting favorite, currently laying -335 to win the fight. Alexander Gustafsson: Opened -360, now -335 (82% of handle, 89% of bets) Fabricio Werdum: Opened +275, now +260 (18% of handle, 11% of bets) Winning method Vai Cavalo is averaging 1.71 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. In this game Werdum is going to avoid Gustafsson’s power punches and that will lead to a victory. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes. Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. So, that means either Gustafsson knocks him out or takes him to a decision. They match him up with one of the best Light Heavyweights in the world in Alexander Gustafsson. White loves to feed guys to the wolves on their way out, so he can continue to tout that the UFC has the top talent in the world. It wasn’t all that long ago that Fabricio Werdum was sitting atop the combat sports world as he was the undisputed UFC Heavyweight champion. And that is where I will make my play in this one, on Gustafsson to finish Werdum by KO/TKO at +110! Sign up now! Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Carla Esparza vs. Marina Rodriguez - 7/25/20 UFC on ESPN 14 Pick and Prediction, Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till 7/25/20 UFC on ESPN 14 Pick and Prediction. When striking, Fabricio Werdum has an accuracy rate of 52%. These are two pretty even fighters and there is no way Gustafsson should be this big of a favorite. Werdum has wins over Fedor Emelianenko, Cain Velasquez, Roy Nelson, Gabriel Gonzaga, Alistair Overeem, and Mark Hunt in his career. The card is headlined by a Middleweight bout between title contenders Robert Whittaker and Darren Till. But then things turned south for Gustafsson as a string of injuries and losses sent his career into a tailspin. That’s not to say that he has been losing to cans, and he does have several quality wins mixed in with the disappointing losses, but on the night that he stood toe to toe with the MMA GOAT in Jon Jones and fought him to a stalemate, if I would have told you that he would go on to lose four out of his next seven fights, you wouldn’t have believed me. Introducing heavyweight @AlexTheMauler! We'll see you in a few hours on ESPN / E+, [ B2YB @HSpecialSurgery ] #UFCFightIsland3 pic.twitter.com/GCKArU4OYV. Fabricio Werdum lands 3.61 significant strikes per minute. He has muffin tops and cankles. So, what does the UFC do to help Werdum get back on track? Werdum now finds himself on a two-fight losing streak and on his way out of the UFC, if he can’t find a way to turn things around quickly. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. With a takedown accuracy rate of 31%, Fabricio Werdum averages 1.71 takedowns per 15 minutes. Alexander “The Mauler” Gustafsson also comes into this fight really struggling .Overall Gustafsson has an 18-6 record and since coming into this game he has lost two fights in a row. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewer’s participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the advertiser. Werdum is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu world champion and used his grappling skills to beat a who’s who of MMA greats enroot to winning the most coveted prize in MMA, the UFC Heavyweight belt. In this article, we will break down the action in the Heavyweight division between Fabricio Werdum and Alexander Gustafsson. But the action doesn’t stop there as several other MMA stars are scheduled to fight, including Shogun Rua, Antonio Rogerio Nogueira, Fabricio Werdum, Alex Gustafsson, Carla Esparza, and Marina Rodriguez. I was embarrassed to watch Fabricio Werdum in his last fight. The last thing Dana ever wants is a guy leaving on top, so sending them out with a bang is his signature move. Alexander Gustafsson averages 1.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, with an accuracy rate of 39%. But after losing his Heavyweight strap to Stipe Miocic, things have quickly gone downhill for Werdum. Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. He fought Jones to a razor-sharp decision loss in a fight that most people thought that he deserved to win. Fabrício Werdum vs Alexander Gustafsson: Free Picks, Odds & Predictions. Werdum is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.62 significant strikes per minute. ... Fabricio Werdum (23-9) vs. Alexander Gustafsson (18-6) Alexander Gustafsson makes his long-awaited return to the octagon tonight as he squares off against former UFC Heavyweight champion, Fabricio Werdum. He gassed out early and was even soundly out grappled at times by Oleinik, which was shocking. UFC Fight Night Whittaker vs. Till comes to you live from Fight Island in Abu Dhabi tonight, and the card is jam-packed with some of MMA’s biggest superstars. Viewers are specifically warned that they should inquire into the legality of participating in any games and/or activities offered by such other sites. Get Our Experts BEST BETS For All Of The Games CLICK HERE. Alexander Gustafsson weighs 240 pounds for his heavyweight debut tomorrow night pic.twitter.com/xOQfISjXAc, — Ariel Helwani (@arielhelwani) July 24, 2020. His recent wins over Glover Teixeira and Jan Błachowicz tells me that this guy can still hang with the best there is in the UFC. A credit for the full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified. Alexander Gustafsson makes his long-awaited return to the octagon tonight as he squares off against former UFC Heavyweight champion, Fabricio Werdum. And when you look at Gustafsson, he still has plenty of star power, and can still beat some of the best fighters in the world. When Alexander Gustafsson fought Jon Jones at UFC 165 way back in September of 2013, he was riding a six-fight winning streak and was 15-1 in his career. We break down the odds. He is also averaging 1.56 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful 39 percent of the time. While I don’t think that he has enough one-punch knockout power to stop the much larger man in Werdum, I do think that when Werdum’s gas tank runs out that Alexander will swarm him on the ground and pick up a TKO finish. For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t win, you’ll get a $39.95 credit that’s good for any future purchases on our site. Werdum managed to win three out of four fights after losing to Miocic and was closing in on a potential title shot when he tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs and was suspended for two years. So, I will take a look at the various prop bets available for this match and see if I can find more value elsewhere.
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